Austin Crime Analysis

We are interested in learning about the crime profile in the City of Austin and if we can identify predictors of crime and predict the crime type before it happens. Moreover, our machine learning model will attempt to predict what type of crime will occur. We collected data from the Austin Police Department (APD) from the years 2003 to present. It contains a record of incidents that the APD responded to and wrote a report on. Of all crimes reported the highest offense per incident was documented in one of the six crime categories below.

Crime Categories

The crime data is categorized into 6 categories based off the National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS). The NIBRS is an incident-based reporting system used by law enforcement agencies in the United States for collecting and reporting data on crimes.

Theft The unlawful taking, carrying, leading, or riding away of property from the possession, or constructive possession, of another person.
Burglary The unlawful entry into a building or other structure with the intent to commit a felony or a theft.
Auto Theft The theft of a motor vehicle
Aggravated Assault An unlawful attack by one person upon another wherein the offender uses a weapon or displays it in a threatening manner, or the victim suffers obvious severe or aggravated bodily injury involving apparent broken bones, loss of teeth, possible internal injury, severe laceration, or loss of consciousness. This also includes assault with disease (as in cases when the offender is aware that he/she is infected with a deadly disease and deliberately attempts to inflict the disease by biting, spitting, etc.)
Robbery The taking, or attempting to take, anything of value under confrontational circumstances from the control, custody, or care of another person by force or threat of force or violence and/or by putting the victim in fear of immediate harm.
Rape The carnal knowledge of a person, forcibly and/or against that person’s will or not forcibly or against the person’s will in instances where the victim is incapable of giving consent because of his/her temporary or permanent mental or physical incapacity
Murder The willful (nonnegligent) killing of one human being by another

Crime Type Pie Chart

Type of Crime by Month